Aftermath after the facts

 

After the takeover of Taliban over almost all the Afghanistan, there have been many changes in political relations between different countries, life of citizens in Afghanistan. This little essay will be a brief on what could be the various possibilities regarding the future of Afghanistan and its relations with other countries.

 

Women’s Future is Uncertain:

Since Taliban’s spokesperson said that women’s rights will be protected as per Islamic values. However, there is still uncertainty regarding their right to work, their dress code and they might be ordered by Taliban to not leave home too often.

Over the past few months attacks on schools and villages dramatically increased in Afghanistan and international support has slowly withdrawn.

So to conclude, women in Afghanistan are deprived of many rights and have a very miserable future if things keep going the way they are.

Relations with Pakistan:

Afghanistan and Pakistan have a long history of tense relations defined by five recurring drivers: sovereignty concerns, security interests, geopolitical dynamics, cross-border ties, and connectivity and trade. Together, these dynamics will shape future prospects for stability in Afghanistan and the broader region. Given that conflict is almost certain to intensify after U.S. and international forcers withdraw. Battlefield developments will take center stage. The Afghanistan- Pakistan relationship is likely on any remaining opportunities to reach to reach a negotiated settlement. Bilateral ties will likewise influence security, political, and economic dynamics in the medium to long term, either after the conflict reaches a stalemate or after a new government takes shape.

So right now the relation between Afghanistan and Pakistan are not looking up anytime soon.

U.S. and Pakistan relations:

Pakistan has been seen and treated as an unreliable ally by the United States in the War on Terror over the last two decades. However, channeling frustration and anger towards Pakistan now would be another strategic misstep at this crucial point in time for the region. Since taking office, President Biden has yet to speak to his Pakistani counterpart, Prime Minister Imran Khan. This cold shoulder has not gone unnoticed in Islamabad. Pakistan nonetheless has decided to move on clear-eyed with its strategy to stabilize Afghanistan. Herein lies the problem: the less that Washington engages with Pakistan, the more disconnected it will be from the region and the weaker its influence will be on the situation’s outcome. Any space that the United States cedes, whether in its relationship with a new Afghan government or with Pakistan, will be filled chiefly by China, and to some extent Iran and Russia.

                                 

Relations with India:

The withdrawal of all U.S. troops from Afghanistan is likely to accelerate current trends in India’s relations with the United States, China, and Russia: greater cooperation with Washington, deeper conflicts with Beijing, and wider fissures in the traditional strategic partnership with Moscow. Reinforcing these structural shifts—and their mirror image—are Pakistan’s changing relations with the United States, China, and Russia.

For long, India’s foreign-policy elite grumbled about the dangers of the United States leaving Afghanistan at the mercy of the Taliban, so assiduously nurtured over the decades by the Pakistan Army. The fear in New Delhi was twofold. First that the favorable conditions for India’s political and economic engagement with Afghanistan since the U.S. intervention in 2001 would come to an end. Second, that Taliban-controlled Afghanistan would once again become Pakistan’s partner in promoting jihadi terrorism against India.

But New Delhi had no choice but to come to terms with the diminishing domestic political support in Washington for the so-called forever war and the inevitability of a post-U.S. Afghanistan. On the upside, New Delhi senses that the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan could significantly weaken the current strategic partnership between Washington and Islamabad.

Since the late 1970s, Afghanistan had formed the bedrock on which United States built a partnership with the Pakistani military, including its intelligence wing. Although Afghanistan will continue to figure in U.S.-Pakistani ties, the relationship is now likely to evolve in a very different direction. New Delhi, however, will be pleased by any reduction in the salience of Pakistan in the Indian-U.S. partnership. Ever since Partition and independence, the U.S.-Pakistani relationship has been an irritant in India’s engagement with the United States.